On the ‘Dubious Economics’ of Using Bitcoin as a Currency

Much has been written about Bitcoin — the world’s best-known virtual currency — over the past few months. However, most of the media’s attention has been focused not on Bitcoin’s viability as a medium of exchange, but rather on the meteoric rise and then fall of its value against the dollar and other central bank-backed currencies. People, it turned out — presumably to the horror of the currency’s anonymous creators who have been getting god-like treatment in absentia — viewed Bitcoin not as an alternative currency, but as an investment — a way to make money in the form of dollars, yen and euros — the very rigged currencies the digital newcomer was meant to replace.
And then came something I’ve long been expecting to take place — the Department of Homeland Security launched an investigation of Bitcoin’s biggest exchange (named Mt. Gox) and served a warrant upon Dwolla — a mobile payment processor — with respect to accounts used for trading with the exchange, in effect freezing the accounts. I think that the accounts in question may never see daylight again and believe that there will be a lot more governmental action to come, and not just in this country. A couple of months ago I wondered how “an online gambling transaction may be considered illegal in the U.S. if conducted in dollars, but if you converted the dollars into Bitcoin, it would all be OK.” Of course, I could have chosen to use in my example a transaction involving illegal drugs, nerve gas, enriched uranium or nuclear waste, but my point was that the U.S. authorities were bound to act, as are their counterparts in Europe and elsewhere. And now the question that interests me the most is whether there is any future for Bitcoin as a currency. While I am not quite ready to write it off completely, I am highly skeptical of the currency’s prospects...












